Pork prices to further rise in China

When buying fresh groceries downtown, Chinese customers are paying much more for their pork lately. Chinese pork dealers confirm that their pork prices have been on the rise. That's not going to change soon, experts say, expecting pork prices to stay high and rise further in the short term due to a supply shortage.


(File Photo: VCG)

Pork butchers told CGTN that the retail price of pork has gone up by two Chinese yuan (around 0.3 U.S. dollars) per 500 grams since May, while a number of customers CGTN spoke to complained that they are now spending 300 to 400 Chinese yuan (around 44 to 58 U.S. dollars) a month on buying pork, which is more than they used to.

African swine fever is to blame. The Ministry of Agriculture said that as of July 3, China had culled more than one million pigs trying to contain African swine fever.

Although the fever itself doesn't affect humans, it kills pigs. Farmers are required to cull their hogs if they become infected. That has meant a massive decline in pig farming and pork production, which some say may rise to as much as one-third of the nation's stock by the end of the year.

Yang Zhongning, an investment consultant from Industrial Securities, expects that pork prices will continue to rise in the short-term.

"There's still quite a gap between supply and demand in the market. Although we are importing pork from other markets to help ease the shortage, I'd say that's not enough," Yang said.

The consultant's view was also supported by research conducted on hog farms, which showed that the number of marketable hogs is on the decline. "So that will bring the market to expect more rising pork prices in the third quarter," Yang projected.

It is not only pork prices that are being affected, demand for soybeans, used as food for hogs, as well as other kinds of meat prices are also being affected.

The swine fever has cut down on China's soybean demand. China imported a total of 7.4 million tons of soybeans in May, 24 percent less than in the same period last year.

But analysts say it's likely that Chinese will turn to consume more chicken and beef in the third quarter, which will lift the performance of producers of those meats.