OPINIONS Analyst: Violence in Hong Kong will affect global overall economy


Analyst: Violence in Hong Kong will affect global overall economy


14:46, August 09, 2019

As protests with chaos and violence continue in Hong Kong, the economy of the special administrative region has been increasingly affected. CGTN reporter Xi Jia has talked to IG Group's senior market analyst to ask how severe the impact is.


(Photo: CGTN)

Hong Kong is traditionally one of the most popular destinations for travelers and shoppers. But months-long demonstrations have taken a growing toll on Hong Kong's tourist industry and its economy.  

Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Strategist at IG, said, "I think we are beginning to see the serious impact now, I think it will begin to show up in the GDP figures further down the line and I think we should be concerned about that. The fact that the protests are broadening out in HK's airport as well should worry the authority in HK certainly broadly."

The consumer and retail sector is expected to drop at least 10 percent in 2019 as the instability affects consumer confidence. Some hotels and shops are shutting down in response to the protests, and others are reducing opening hours. 

"I think this is one way you see the biggest impact as a result you see potentially shops are closing for longer period. You could see more job losses at the beginning of it of course ... to wage figures in employment numbers further down the line. I think this is the big impact you see certainly on the ground for the HK economy," said Beauchamp.

He added that the protests could lead to a more general period of weakness for the economies of east Asia, which will have a wider impact on the world economy.

"This is the beginning to a sort of magnified something just moves far beyond the impact of protest on the domestic economy and you will see an international situation begin to weigh on HK as well."

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