WORLD Brazilian financial analysts forecast 5.52 pct drop in GDP in 2020

WORLD

Brazilian financial analysts forecast 5.52 pct drop in GDP in 2020

Xinhua

07:23, August 18, 2020

BRASILIA, Aug. 17 (Xinhua) -- For the seventh consecutive week, Brazilian financial analysts forecast a smaller contraction in gross domestic product (GDP) for 2020 than before, adjusting it from 5.62 percent to 5.52 percent, the Central Bank of Brazil said on Monday.

At the end of June, analysts forecast a 6.54 percent drop in GDP.

According to the bank's latest weekly survey of leading financial institutions in Brazil, the economic growth forecast for 2021 remained steady at 3.5 percent.

Regarding inflation, the financial market raised its estimate from 1.63 to 1.67 percent by the end of this year, and maintained it at 3 percent for next year.

The inflation forecasts fall within the government's target of 4 percent in 2020 and 3.75 percent in 2021, with a 1.5 percentage points margin of error up or down.

The projected benchmark interest rate for 2020 remained unchanged, to close the year at the current level of 2 percent, while for 2021, it was adjusted from 3 to 2.75 percent.

Regarding the trade balance, analysts expect a trade surplus of 55 billion U.S. dollars in 2020 and of 52.75 billion dollars in 2021.

Foreign direct investment in Brazil was estimated to reach 51.25 billion dollars in 2020 and 65.96 billion dollars in 2021.

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(Photo: VCG) 

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