Political sentiments in Thailand ebb ahead of the election
Global Times
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Voters line up to cast their ballots at a polling station during an early voting for Thailand's House of Representatives election at the National Stadium in Bangkok, Thailand, on Feb. 1, 2026. (Xinhua/Sun Weitong)

Voters line up to cast their ballots at a polling station during an early voting for Thailand's House of Representatives election at the National Stadium in Bangkok, Thailand, on Feb. 1, 2026. (Photo: Xinhua)

Thailand's general election is set to be held on Sunday. Compared with the highly mobilized, emotionally charged political atmosphere seen ahead of the 2019 and 2023 elections, Thai society appears unusually calm regarding the upcoming 2026 general election.

Whether on university campuses or across social media, public attention to the election is expressed more through rational discussion and cautious assessment. This calm does not signal the spread of political apathy; rather, it reflects an adjustment shaped by accumulated experience. After repeated rounds of high-intensity mobilization, institutional setbacks and real-world constraints, Thai voters have gradually lowered their emotional expectations for elections, reallocating political participation toward more low-key forms of engagement. Therefore, the calm of 2026 is not a sign of depoliticization, but rather a shift in the emotions of Thai voters.

Another notable shift surrounding Thailand's 2026 general election is the changing focus of electoral debate. Unlike earlier contests, which centered on issues such as "democracy,"  "constitution," and "monarchy," current discussions place greater emphasis on online scams and cross-border crime, infrastructure security and construction quality, foreign capital and corruption risks, as well as national security and border issues.

An important aspect of observing Thailand's 2026 general election is examining how the election reflects changes in the way Thai politics operates.

First, political expression in Thailand is shifting from emotional mobilization toward lower-risk choices. Compared with the highly charged street mobilizations and confrontations of previous years, this election in Thailand has exhibited a surface-level calm. Many posters now feature only the candidate's portrait, name and number, scarcely attempting to explain party platforms through slogans. Yet this doesn't mean policies have vanished, they've simply shifted online. Since social media became the primary battleground in 2019, Thailand's political parties have moved away from clear, radical and controversial policy slogans. Instead, they tend to deliver vague yet safe messages, emphasizing stability, competence in governance, lower living costs and better social welfare. After multiple elections and institutional setbacks, many voters no longer expect structural change from a single vote. Instead, they focus on "avoiding further deterioration" and "seeking security and stability."

Second, nationalism and security issues have resurfaced. Border clashes with Cambodia, frequent fraud cases and economic downturn pressures have once again made "security," "order" and "stability" the central themes of Thailand's public political discourse. However, this shift hasn't simply pushed Thai voters toward any single right-wing party. Instead, most major Thai parties cautiously borrow nationalist rhetoric while avoiding overly radical stances. It is often the small and medium-sized parties that wield nationalist slogans in a high-profile manner, seeking greater visibility through louder expressions in the campaign environment. This has also led to highly similar agendas within the conservative bloc, potentially further fragmenting the vote.

Third, the inherent "brand ambiguity" among Thai political parties has heightened uncertainty over election outcomes. The Pheu Thai Party, the Democrat Party and the Bhumjaithai Party are all attempting to reinvent their images, yet they remain constrained by their own histories. Meanwhile, the People's Party, though still seen as a symbol of reform, has yet to demonstrate its ability to govern effectively. As parties grow increasingly similar in visuals, slogans and policy rhetoric, Thai voters' choices are no longer a matter of value judgment but rather one of situational assessment. This explains why concrete policies like social security and air quality repeatedly surface in this election.

Thus, the pivotal question for Thailand's 2026 election is not merely "who will win," but also whether this low-intensity politics signals genuine stability or deeper political fatigue. What is certain is that Thai society has not abandoned its aspirations for change. These aspirations have simply become more cautious. The 2026 Thai election offers a more authentic glimpse into how a society navigates between ideals, reality and exhaustion to redefine its position.

The author is a scholar at the School of Ethnology, Northeastern University. opinion@globaltimes.com.cn